Every NBA game,
simulated before tip.
Bucket Sims runs three different simulation models on every game of the NBA slate, then publishes what each one calls for player props: Over or Under the line, how confident it is, and how often its simulations cleared the line.
Three sims, three perspectives
Each model plays every game 5,000 times, so every matchup gets 15,000 simulated games across the three.
They don’t always agree, and that’s the point. You can see where all three line up, where they split, and pick the one you trust.
Graded at the exact line
Every call is graded against the line it was made at, not a better number found later. Wins, losses, pushes and DNPs all stay on the record, and misses are never deleted.
What the numbers mean
- Sim hit rate is the share of simulations that landed on the model’s side of the line. It is not a guaranteed or calibrated win probability.
- Confidence groups calls into High, Medium and Low. These are model ratings, not promises.
- Leaps look past the usual line to bigger nights, with each sim’s chance of getting there.
- Odds show the sportsbook and when the price was captured. Prices move, so check your book.
Ask the sims
The chat on the home page answers questions straight from the published sim data, with three free questions a day. It reports what each sim calls and why the numbers look the way they do. It doesn’t make picks of its own.
Follow along
Nightly props, Leaps and results are posted on X at @BucketSimsHQ.